Misurata – Writer and political analyst Suleiman Al-Bayoudi considered what was announced as an agreement in Tripoli to be nothing more than the end of a round in a postponed battle that could erupt at any moment. He stressed that what occurred is not a genuine agreement but a policy of “finger-biting” that produces a victor and a vanquished.
Al-Bayoudi explained in a post that the head of the Government of National Unity, Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh, lost the round as soon as his project to control the capital failed and he accepted the principle of negotiating with the Deterrence Apparatus. He noted that Dbeibeh is betting on time and other factors to implement his plans.
He added that the Deterrence Force achieved its superiority thanks to its popular support base in Souq al-Jumu’a and the rallying of the capital’s residents around it, in addition to the alliances that emerged in the west of the country, as well as the leadership’s decision to intervene in favor of this alliance. This, according to him, reflected the failure of the Rome meeting, which aimed for a deal with General Saddam Haftar to abandon his alliances in the west in favor of an insecure partnership with Dbeibeh.
Al-Bayoudi stated that Dbeibeh’s loss came as a result of losing his main support base in Misrata, which could lead to the disintegration of part of his fragile alliance. He stressed that his survival depends on his ability to address his crisis there, away from the system that has increased the level of resentment against him.
He pointed out that international and regional intervention in the crisis aims to achieve a minimum level of stability to preserve everyone’s interests, and not to directly support Dbeibeh, emphasizing that any new escalation will change the rules of the game on the ground.
Al-Bayoudi concluded by stressing that Dbeibeh is required to urgently reposition himself in Misrata, otherwise he may lose what cards he has left and time will not be on his side to negotiate a safe exit.