An analytical report by the US-based organization “Democracy for the Arab World Now” (DAWN) has highlighted the global rejection of the “flawed” status quo in Libya and the continued stagnation of the political scene due to deep-rooted power struggles, addressing the accumulated failures of the UN roadmap and its de facto rejection by key actors.
The report explained that the roots of the crisis lie in an escalating struggle for control stemming from differing interpretations of the roadmap and the absence of genuine national will or meaningful international support for reconciliation, along with the need for a shift that prioritizes a comprehensive Libyan-led solution over externally defined conditions.
The report stressed that the United States must re-evaluate its strategy, arguing that prolonged engagement based on short-term security interests or economic opportunism risks perpetuating the conflict. Despite the roadmap having a sequential structure and a timeline, it mimics previous plans without tangible results.
It noted that the roadmap is characterized by repetitive terminology and lacks actionable technical details, raising questions about its feasibility in light of past failures. It pointed out that the absence of specific timelines, although justified by the mission to prevent spoilers from exploiting missed deadlines, creates the impression of a lack of a clear strategy.
The report showed that the official welcome from the House of Representatives and the High Council of State does not conceal a practical rejection. The parliament is divided, while the High Council of State seeks to redraft the roadmap in a way that preserves its interests and maintains the status quo, amid accusations that it fears elections in order to ensure the survival of the Dbeibeh government.
The report touched upon meetings that brought together Tripoli’s Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh with the head of the High Council of State, Mohammed Takala, and the head of the Presidential Council, Mohamed al-Menfi. It described these meetings as a shift toward consolidating these institutions through integration and forming a united front to portray the government as an effective authority and maintain stability.
The report concluded that this strategy helps thwart calls for the formation of a new, unified national executive authority, thereby deepening the political stagnation and leaving the UN roadmap susceptible to stalemate and loss of momentum.